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3-Year-Old Report Predicted NYC Flooding

A New York City climate change brain trust warned of severe damage to the city that bears a striking resemblance to the chaos recently wrought by Hurricane Sandy.

By | November 1, 2012

Flooding caused by Hurricane Sandy on Emmons Ave, Brooklyn, NYWikimedia, VicpetersIn 2009, the New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC) issued dire warnings to residents of the Big Apple that they'd be feeling the effects of global warming sooner rather than later. "In the coming decades, our coastal city will most likely face more rapidly rising sea levels and warmer temperatures, as well as potentially more droughts and floods, which will all have impacts on New York City’s critical infrastructure,” said NPCC co-chair William Solecki, a geographer at the CUNY Institute for Sustainable Cities at Hunter College, said in a February 2009 statement announcing the report. "Taking steps now to adapt to these impacts will reduce their potential consequences in the future."

The panel, which comprised top climate change scientists and academics and was funded by the Rockefeller Foundation, calculated that New York City would experience a "1-in-10 year coastal flood about once every 1 to 3 years," and a "1-in-100 year coastal flood about once every 15 to 35 years." The flooding caused by Hurricane Sandy's storm surge topped out at 13 feet in lower Manhattan, a record for the city.

"The climate change projections developed by our expert panel put numbers to what we already know—climate change is real and could have serious consequences for New York if we don’t take action," said NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg in the statement announcing the report. "Planning for climate change today is less expensive than rebuilding an entire network after a catastrophe. We cannot wait until after our infrastructure has been compromised to begin to plan for the effects of climate change now."

A year before the NPCC report came out, Mayor Bloomberg launched the NYC Climate Change Adaptation Task Force, which was tasked with developing "adaptation strategies to secure the city's infrastructure from the effects of climate change."

Earlier this year, the NYC City Council passed a law that made the NPCC and the NYC Climate Change Adaptation Task Force a permanent fixture of the city's government. "We want to make sure that the work of climate change becomes as much a part of city government as repairing pot holes," City Council Speaker Christine Quinn told The New York Times.

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Comments

Avatar of: Bill Michtom

Bill Michtom

Posts: 1

November 1, 2012

That was so 24 hours ago! Barriers Against Storm Surges Not Practical, Mayor Says “Nature produces great risks,” Mr. Bloomberg said, but he appears to disagree with Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo, who has suggested the construction of underwater gates that would prevent storm surges along New York City’s waterways. “I don’t think there’s any practical way to build barriers in the oceans,” Mr. Bloomberg said, adding: “Even if you spent a fortune, it’s not clear to me that you would get much value for it.” Barriers against storm surges, which can cost many billions of dollars to build, have been constructed in some low-lying European cities to prevent flooding.
Avatar of: Paul Stein

Paul Stein

Posts: 108

November 1, 2012

Why does it take a personal slap in the face before people realize that science is reality.  We can try to stop global warming using trillions of dollars and create many millions of jobs and new economies in the process, or we can spend quadrillions reacting to every new natural disaster, each one worse than the next, and bankrupt the World.

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