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2026 World Cup Creates Perfect Conditions for Infectious Disease Spread

Public health systems in the US, Canada, and Mexico prepare for potential outbreaks of measles, influenza, and mosquito-borne viruses as fans gather.

Written byAndrés Henao, PhDBrought to you byThe Conversation
| 5 min read
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When the 2026 FIFA World Cup begins on June 11, 2026, matches will be played across 16 cities in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Millions of fans will arrive through multiple airports and will pack into stadiums, airports, hotels, bars, and public transit systems over five weeks.

That makes the World Cup not just a sporting event but a weekslong experiment in global mixing that creates a perfect environment for infectious diseases to spread. Events of this scale rarely cause major outbreaks, but they do create opportunities for outbreaks and for health systems to be tested.

The possibilities range from the dramatic but unlikely (an imported Ebola case) to the much more probable (flu and measles spreading through crowded venues) and the largely overlooked (spikes in sexually transmitted infections and mosquito-borne diseases gaining footholds in new areas).

As an infectious diseases physician studying how outbreaks affect peoples’ health, and an avid soccer fan – I root for the Colombian team – I have been watching closely as public health experts prepare for the event.

Here are some of the infectious disease threats they are monitoring as the world’s largest sporting event kicks off:

Ebola – Scary But Unlikely

In May 2026, the World Health Organization declared a global health emergency over an Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda caused by a rare strain called Bundibugyo, which kills roughly 1 in 3 people it infects.

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No approved vaccines, rapid diagnostic tests, or treatments exist for this strain. And the global response has been complicated by deep cuts to international health aid and the US withdrawal from the World Health Organization.1,2

If a case is detected, rapid identification and isolation are critical to prevent further local transmission.

Still, the risk of Ebola reaching a World Cup stadium is very low. That’s because the virus spreads only through direct contact with bodily fluids like blood or saliva, not through the air, and infected people aren’t contagious until they show symptoms.

The US has banned entry for non-US citizens and green card holders who have been in the affected countries in the past 21 days and is screening all passengers traveling from affected areas. It is also urging European countries to embrace similar procedures as World Cup travel picks up. Mexico and Canada also have travel restrictions in place.

A stadium packed full of World Cup fans
Crowds at a Moscow stadium during the 2018 World Cup show that this massive sporting event is a weeks-long experiment in global mixing that creates a perfect environment for infectious diseases to spread. Claudio Villa - FIFA/FIFA via Getty Images

Measles, Flu, and COVID-19 – The Bigger Dangers

The more likely threats for soccer fans attending the World Cup are respiratory infections — illnesses spread by coughing, sneezing and breathing in crowded spaces.

Of special concern is measles, which is surging in the United States as well as in Canada and Mexico.3 As of June 4, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has confirmed 2,030 cases of measles in the U.S. in 2026 – close to the total count for all of 2025 and significantly higher than in previous years.

Measles is one of the most contagious infectious diseases on the planet. A single infectious traveler passing through Denver International Airport in 2025 triggered an outbreak of at least 10 cases.4 An infected fan in the stands, at an airport, or in a bar could easily cause an outbreak.

On top of that, the 2025–2026 flu season reached a 30-year high, and COVID-19 continues to cause an estimated 290,000 to 450,000 hospitalizations per year.5,6 And big gatherings can amplify the risk of transmission.

In the background, avian influenza H5N1 — the bird flu circulating in dairy cows and poultry — has caused 70 human infections in the US since 2024.7 No person-to-person spread has been detected, but scientists are watching closely for mutations that could change that.

Mosquito Risks

Mosquito-borne diseases add another layer of risk to health authorities and travelers, especially for matches in southern US and Mexican host cities during peak summer mosquito season.

Dengue – a tropical virus that causes high fever, severe body aches, and sometimes life-threatening complications – set a U.S. record in 2024, with nearly 3,800 cases.8 That was a 359 percent jump over the prior 14-year average.

Most cases occurred in travelers returning from the Caribbean and Central America. Still, locally acquired cases have cropped up, mainly in Los Angeles.9

There’s also the risk that fans will bring infectious diseases from their home countries.

Yellow fever, a potentially deadly viral infection, is absent from the US but remains a threat to fans traveling from parts of Sub-Saharan Africa and South America, where the disease is native. A 2024 yellow fever outbreak in South America outside the Amazonian jungle, where transmission generally occurs, hinted that its spread to urban areas is possible.10

And Oropouche virus, a once-obscure mosquito-borne illness, exploded across Latin America in 2024 in the largest epidemic ever recorded, with over 8,000 confirmed cases in Brazil alone.11 Although infection is usually mild, it can have dangerous complications such as brain inflammation and bleeding disorders and can harm a developing fetus. No vaccines or treatments exist.

Travelers carrying these infections may need medical care, but familiarity with them among US physicians tends to be low. There’s also a small risk that illnesses may spread locally through mosquito bites.

Public health experts are scaling up disease monitoring and making other preparations to help keep World Cup travelers safe.

Sexually Transmitted Infections Under the Radar

One category of possible risk that’s getting less media attention is sexually transmitted infections.

About 1 in 5 international travelers engages in casual sex, according to one study, and nearly half of those encounters are unprotected.

Mpox, a viral infection that spreads through close physical contact, continues to circulate in the U.S and is a particular concern at large public events. Syphilis is also seeing a global resurgence.12

Public Health in Action

Public health authorities across the US, Canada, and Mexico can have scaled up monitoring efforts amid preparations for keeping World Cup travelers safe.

In the US, a coalition of academic institutions, companies, nonprofits, and public health organizations led by Georgetown University and nonprofit healthcare provider MedStar Health, called the Health Security Operations Center, will be keeping close tabs on disease transmission during the event. But some experts have raised concerns about US resilience to public health threats at the World Cup due to significant cuts to public health infrastructure since 2025, including to the CDC.13

Fans can take several steps of their own to protect themselves. They can make sure their routine vaccinations – especially measles, flu, and COVID-19 – are up to date; practice safe sex; use mosquito repellent; and stay home or wear a mask if they feel sick.The Conversation

Andrés Henao, Associate Professor of Medicine and Infectious Disease, University of Colorado Anschutz

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

  1. Bhadelia N, et al. A tale of two U.S. Global health security futures—withdraw or evolve? Vaccine. 2025;61:127399.
  2. Auwal AR, et al. The global implications of U.S. withdrawal from WHO and the USAID shutdown: Challenges and strategic policy considerations. Front Public Health. 2025;13:1589010.
  3. Do LAH, et al. Measles 2025. N Engl J Med. 2025;393(24):2447-2458.
  4. Metz AR, et al. Measles outbreak associated with an infectious traveler — Colorado, May–June 2025. MMWR. 2026;75(4);48-54.
  5. Parums DV. Editorial: Increased respiratory infections in the 2025–2026 influenza season and the (A)H3N2 virus, a past cause of pandemic influenza. Med Sci Monit. 2026;32:e952952.
  6. Silk BJ, et al. Respiratory virus activity — United States, July 1, 2024–June 30, 2025. MMWR. 2026;75(6):77-84.
  7. Rolfes MA, et al. Human infections with highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses in the United States from March 2024 to May 2025. Nat Med. 2025;31:3889-3898.
  8. Kiplagat SJ, et al. Increase in travel-associated and locally acquired dengue cases — United States, 2024. MMWR. 2026;75(18):227-233.
  9. Vaughan AM, et al. Investigation of and response to autochthonous dengue, Los Angeles County, California, USA, August–November 2024. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 2026;32(5):720-727.
  10. Cuéllar-Sáenz JA, et al. Reemergence of Yellow Fever, Magdalena Valley, Colombia, 2024–2025. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 2025;31(12):2216-2224.
  11. Lorenz C, et al. Oropouche fever outbreak in Brazil: Key factors behind the largest epidemic in history. PLoS One. 20(7):e0327845.
  12. Gunaratne SH, et al. STI testing and diagnosis rates among patients with Mpox in 2 populous US cities, 2022. BMC Med 2025;23:548.
  13. Gostin LO and Lurie P. Assault on the centers for disease control and prevention—Budget cuts, political control, and the erosion of trust. JAMA Health Forum. 2025;6(10):e255467.
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Meet the Author

  • Andres Henao smiles while wearing a blue shirt and a pink tie in a headshot photo.

    Andrés Henao, PhD is an Associate Professor of Medicine and Infectious Disease at the University of Colorado Anschutz. His research passion revolves around understanding host susceptibility factors in various fungal and tropical infections, with a particular focus on diseases like Chagas disease and Cryptococcus. Exploring mortality risk and determinants in chronic Chagas cardiomyopathy has been a significant aspect of his work, aiming to contribute valuable insights to this complex health issue. As a board-certified physician in Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, his commitment extends to reviewing and contributing to advancements in therapeutic approaches within the field. His contributions to the understanding of characteristics and clinical manifestations of diseases, such as Mpox, especially among individuals with HIV, highlight his dedication to enhancing medical knowledge and patient care. Through publications and ongoing research, he aims to foster a deeper understanding of infectious diseases, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

    View Full Profile

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