Place your 2008 Nobel bets

Predicting who will win Nobel Prizes is a tricky business. The Nobel committees' nomination and selection processes are cloaked in mystery. Each year, though, a couple brave organizations try their luck. One of these is Thomson Reuters, which has linkurl:released;http://scientific.thomsonreuters.com/nobel/essay/ a list of Nobel picks every year since 2002. Thomson bases its picks largely on the citation data that ISI - a part of Thomson Scientific founded by __The Scientist__ founder linkurl:Eu

Bob Grant
Bob Grant

Bob Grant is Editor in Chief of The Scientist, where he started in 2007 as a Staff Writer.

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Sep 30, 2008
Predicting who will win Nobel Prizes is a tricky business. The Nobel committees' nomination and selection processes are cloaked in mystery. Each year, though, a couple brave organizations try their luck. One of these is Thomson Reuters, which has linkurl:released;http://scientific.thomsonreuters.com/nobel/essay/ a list of Nobel picks every year since 2002. Thomson bases its picks largely on the citation data that ISI - a part of Thomson Scientific founded by __The Scientist__ founder linkurl:Eugene Garfield;http://www.the-scientist.com/article/display/54457/ - collects. Thomson has correctly picked 12 Nobel Laureates, and last year five of its picks won Nobel Prizes. Many of these winners, however, were picked by Thomson years before they actually won their prizes. linkurl:David Pendlebury,;http://www.the-scientist.com/article/display/13198/ a bibliometrician with the company, said in a teleconference today that he compiled this year's list of "Citation Laureates" in September. "They seem to be peers of people who have won the Nobel Prize in every way," he said. "They're...

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