The identities of top contenders for annual Nobel Prizes are kept under wraps during the nomination and selection process, no one quite knowing what happens behind the committees' closed doors. That secrecy doesn't stop a few brave organizations from trying to predict the winners every year, often with varying degrees of success.
Publishing and information company Thomson Reuters released their linkurl:list of finalists;http://science.thomsonreuters.com/nobel/ yesterday. Using data from linkurl:ISI Web of Knowledge;http://isiwebofknowledge.com/ (part of Thomson Scientific started by The Scientist founder linkurl: Eugene Garfield;http://www.garfield.library.upenn.edu/ ), the company compiles a list of Citation Laureates -- top researchers that have accumulated stratospheric citation totals and written several high-impact papers during their careers. Thomson Reuters made its first formal predictions in 2002, but bibliometricians working for the company and using the same citation method published their picks in The Scientist as early as 1989. Twenty-seven of their choices have gone...
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