WIKIMEDIA, NCIAs the population of the U.S. grows and the average citizen lives longer, the total number of breast cancer cases among American women could be as much as 50 percent greater in 2030 than it was in 2011, according to a new forecast by the National Cancer Institute (NCI). NCI biostatistician Philip Rosenberg presented the findings yesterday (April 20) at the annual meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) being held in Philadelphia.
Rosenberg explained that he NCI model predicts that the proportion of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, in-situ breast cancer may rise from 19 percent to 29 percent, while rates of ER-negative breast cancer diagnoses will plateau or decrease. “Our estimate is that the total number of diagnoses of breast cancer in the U.S. will increase by about 50 percent by 2030,” he said during a press conference announcing the results. “The one silver lining is that we expect fewer ER-negative tumors, which include the most difficult-to-treat HER2-positive and triple-negative subtypes,” Rosenberg added in a statement.
The total number of new breast cancer cases in the U.S. will likely increase from 283,000 in 2011 to 441,000 in 2030, according to the NCI model, which incorporated data from the ...
