Opinion: Biomarkers of Longevity Not Ready for the Clinic

The science isn’t there yet, nor are the known interventions that ought to be combined with delivering such predictions.

Written byJohn D. Loike and Ruth L. Fischbach
| 4 min read
longevity lifespan prediction estimate elderly telomere methylation biomarker centenarian

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Doctors, scientists, insurers, biotech companies. and patients themselves have long sought to be able to accurately predict (and extend) an individual’s longevity. And given the right situations, such estimates could have health care benefits.

Over the past several years, scientists have identified four genetic and molecular biomarkers that potentially predict human and animal longevity. The first is the rate at which an individual’s telomeres shorten in length. There is increasing evidence from both human and animal studies that the slower the rate of telomere shortening, the longer that individual is likely to live. The second is the rate of gene methylation, indicating an increased level of methylation was correlated with shortened longevity. The third is the polygenic risk. A recently reported genetic analysis can identify “10 percent of people with the most protective genes, who will live an average of five years longer than the least ...

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Meet the Author

  • John Loike

    John Loike serves as the interim director of bioethics at New York Medical College and as a professor of biology at Touro University. He served previously as the codirector for graduate studies in the Department of Physiology Cellular Biophysics and director of Special Programs in the Center for Bioethics at Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons. His biomedical research focuses on how human white blood cells combat infections and cancer. Loike lectures internationally on emerging topics in bioethics, organizes international conferences, and has published more than 150 papers and abstracts in the areas of immunology, cancer, and bioethics. He earned his Ph.D. from the Albert Einstein College of Medicine of Yeshiva University.

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