New Models Improve Long-Term Grass Pollen Forecasts
New Models Improve Long-Term Grass Pollen Forecasts
More-accurate predictions of the severity of an upcoming grass pollen season based on rainfall and temperature could help allergy sufferers manage their symptoms.
New Models Improve Long-Term Grass Pollen Forecasts
New Models Improve Long-Term Grass Pollen Forecasts

More-accurate predictions of the severity of an upcoming grass pollen season based on rainfall and temperature could help allergy sufferers manage their symptoms.

More-accurate predictions of the severity of an upcoming grass pollen season based on rainfall and temperature could help allergy sufferers manage their symptoms.

modeling
Are Climate-Driven Shifts in Bat Diversity to Blame for COVID-19?
Are Climate-Driven Shifts in Bat Diversity to Blame for COVID-19?
Asher Jones | Feb 12, 2021
A study proposes that habitat for bats—and their accompanying coronaviruses—has increased in southern Asia over the last century, but experts debate the reliability of the analysis.
Infographic: Meet R, the Shaky Metric Guiding Pandemic Forecasts
Infographic: Meet R, the Shaky Metric Guiding Pandemic Forecasts
Katarina Zimmer | Jul 25, 2020
The basic reproductive R0, along with the more malleable effective reproduction number Re, are centerpieces of most epidemiological models that are informing government responses to COVID-19.
Why R0 Is Problematic for Predicting COVID-19 Spread
Why R0 Is Problematic for Predicting COVID-19 Spread
Katarina Zimmer | Jul 13, 2020
The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has revealed the limitations of R0 as no other disease outbreak has before, at a time when policymakers need accurate forecasts.
Study Identifies Abnormal Surge of Flu-like Illnesses in March
Study Identifies Abnormal Surge of Flu-like Illnesses in March
Katarina Zimmer | Jun 30, 2020
Modelers try a new approach to gauge the true number of COVID-19 cases in the US by using surveillance data for flu-like illnesses.
Estimates Vary Widely for Number of Wuhan COVID-19 Cases in January
Estimates Vary Widely for Number of Wuhan COVID-19 Cases in January
Chris Baraniuk | Jun 17, 2020
Lacking many diagnostic test results from the first major outbreak, researchers have been left to scour other sources for clues about what happened in the early days of the pandemic.
The Effects of Physical Isolation on the Pandemic Quantified
The Effects of Physical Isolation on the Pandemic Quantified
David Adam | Apr 10, 2020
Social distancing measures are based on limited data. As much of the world remains stuck in lockdown, researchers are trying to measure the benefits.