Citations Predict Nobel Winners?

Thomson Reuters makes its annual data-based picks for which scientists could collect medals in Stockholm later this year.

Written byBob Grant
| 2 min read

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Will a Citation Laureate take the stage in Stokholm this year?WIKIMEDIA, ANONInformation resource provider Thomson Reuters has released its annual Nobel Prize picks, which are based on citation numbers mined from the research and citation database, Web of Science. Since it started making the predictions in 2002, 27 of Thomson Reuters’s 183 total “Citation Laureates” have gone on to win the actual prize, though not all were Nobel Laureates the same year they were named Citation Laureates. “Scientific research citations function as a repayment of an intellectual debt,” said Gordon Macomber, managing director of Thomson Reuters Scholarly & Scientific Research, in a release. “By analyzing these citations in aggregate over many years, we are able to identify individual researchers and institutions that have the greatest impact on their fields of study and, as a result, are most likely to capture the attention of the Nobel jury.”

The 2013 Citation Laureates include life scientists whose citation records, according to Thomson Reuters, make them prime candidates for the Nobel Prize in Chemistry or the award for Physiology or Medicine, both of which will be announced next month.

This year’s Citation Laureates in Physiology or Medicine are:

This year’s Citation Laureates in Chemistry include:

Be sure to stay tuned to The Scientist in October to find out who actually wins Nobel Prizes in Physiology or Medicine and/or Chemistry.

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Meet the Author

  • From 2017 to 2022, Bob Grant was Editor in Chief of The Scientist, where he started in 2007 as a Staff Writer. Before joining the team, he worked as a reporter at Audubon and earned a master’s degree in science journalism from New York University. In his previous life, he pursued a career in science, getting a bachelor’s degree in wildlife biology from Montana State University and a master’s degree in marine biology from the College of Charleston in South Carolina. Bob edited Reading Frames and other sections of the magazine.

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