Measles to Hit Chicago, Los Angeles, and Miami Next, Study Predicts

The forecast for upcoming outbreaks failed to foresee the cluster of infections currently affecting Brooklyn.

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Measles outbreaks are most likely occur in Chicago, Los Angeles, and Miami this year, according to a study published last week in The Lancet Infectious Diseases. As The New York Times reports, researchers at the University of Texas, Austin, Johns Hopkins University, and collaborators elsewhere ranked US counties by risk of a 2019 measles outbreak, taking into account vaccination exemptions for non-medical reasons and proximity to international airports, and these three metropolitan areas topped the list.

As of April 15, two-thirds of the US counties that have had measles outbreaks this year were either among the 25 that the researchers predicted as having the highest measles risk or were adjacent to those counties.

The study did not directly predict the largest measles outbreak so far this year, which is centered within the Orthodox Jewish community in Williamsburg, Brooklyn. Brooklyn (Kings County) is, however, adjacent to Queens ...

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