First US Outbreak of COVID-19 Seeded in Mid-February: Preprint

A modeling study counters initial interpretations that the cluster began with someone who flew to Seattle in mid-January.

Written byKerry Grens
| 2 min read
seattle coronavirus outbreak pandemic covid-19 sars-cov-2 genome wa1 washington transmission wuhan china phylogeny virology

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An outbreak of coronavirus infections in Washington State that began at the end of February was likely sparked by a traveler who entered the state in mid-February, rather than by an infected person who flew from Wuhan, China, to Seattle in mid-January, as was previously thought. That’s the conclusion of a preprint posted on bioRxiv May 23 that modeled various transmission scenarios based on the genomes of viral samples collected from patients in Washington State and elsewhere.

The study confirms “a lot of what we were starting to suspect from the epidemiological data, that there were some early introductions in the West Coast that did not spark sustained transmission,” Northeastern University’s Samuel Scarpino, who was not involved in the work, tells STAT.

Initial studies by Trevor Bedford, who studies pathogen evolution at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and the University of Washington, indicated that the ...

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  • kerry grens

    Kerry served as The Scientist’s news director until 2021. Before joining The Scientist in 2013, she was a stringer for Reuters Health, the senior health and science reporter at WHYY in Philadelphia, and the health and science reporter at New Hampshire Public Radio. Kerry got her start in journalism as a AAAS Mass Media fellow at KUNC in Colorado. She has a master’s in biological sciences from Stanford University and a biology degree from Loyola University Chicago.

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